Gold Trade Setup – 4/9/2025 Gold (XAUUSD) enters today’s session with a constructive backdrop: ISM manufacturing’s contraction underscores a soft-growth tone that helps keep real-yield headwinds contained. In that environment, dips are more likely to be absorbed than extended, provided U.S. data don’t spark a sharp rise in yields or the dollar. Technically, the breakout remains intact while price holds above the 3510 area, giving a clear, high-quality level to lean against. The trade plan is straightforward: accumulate on pullbacks to 3510–3525, with a momentum add above 3555/3565 once buyers confirm control. Risk is well-defined with tactical invalidation at 3488 and structural invalidation at 3460 ahead of today’s 13:15 (UK) ADP, 15:00 ISM Services, and Friday’s 13:30 NFP windows. Pair / Asset (Ref Px) Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (fundamentals, technicals, sentiment/positioning) Near-term catalysts (UK time) Gold XAUUSD Long on dips 3510–3525; momentum add on >3555/3565 3488 (tactical) / 3460 (structural) 3585 / 3620 ISM mfg’s contraction + soft growth vibe keeps real-yield headwinds contained; if ISM Services/ADP don’t spike yields, pullbacks likely bought. Trend intact above 3510 post-breakout. (Trim if yields/ USD rip on hot data.) (MarketWatch, City Index) Today 13:15 ADP • 15:00 ISM Services • Fri 13:30 NFP (largest risk). (FRED, City Index) Conclusion This remains an A+ long-on-dips setup: fundamentals (soft growth, contained real yields), technicals (post-breakout support at 3510), and sentiment (buy-the-dip behavior unless yields/USD surge) are aligned. Execute by scaling in 3510–3525, then add on a sustained break above 3555/3565; manage risk with stops at 3488 (tactical) and 3460 (structural). Aim for 3585 (T1) and 3620 (T2), trimming exposure if hot data drive a synchronized push higher in Treasury yields and the dollar. Reassess after each data release; as long as real yields remain tame and 3510 holds on closing bases, the trade’s risk-reward stays attractively skewed to the upside. For similar Trade Setups please visit our commodities trade ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. TerraBullMarkets...
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