Author: TerraBullMarkets

Gold remains our highest-conviction long for the week, with a buy-the-dip bias and a breakout add if momentum confirms. Fundamentals: The mix, with softening real yields, persistent central-bank demand, and ongoing hedging needs, continues to underpin the uptrend, while recent Asia-session price action shows firm dip-buying interest in the 4,200 – 4,250 zone. Technicals: The breadth and structure favor continuation: higher highs/lows on the daily, clean demand below, and a clear intraday trigger above the 4,310 area. Sentiment: Dealer positioning point to stop clusters below 4,200 and above 4,300, which can amplify directional moves once engaged. With a heavy macro…...

Gold enters Friday’s London session pressing fresh record territory after a powerful, rates-led breakout this week. The core drivers are intact and mutually reinforcing: (i) a softer front-end rates/US-dollar backdrop as the Fed leans toward additional easing; (ii) persistent haven demand amid US–China trade frictions and broader macro uncertainty; and (iii) real-money support via robust ETF/central-bank buying that has underpinned every dip. Technically, the market has transitioned from range to trend: price accepted above the prior ceiling (low-$4.3k zone) with impulsive breadth and shallow pullbacks, and intraday structure now shows clean “break–retest–extend” behavior around the newest round-number pivots. Sentiment/positioning add…...

For the remainder of this week (from Thursday, 16 Oct 2025), EUR/USD meets our A+ (3/3) conviction standard with fundamentals, technicals, and positioning aligned. We maintain a long bias, looking to buy pullbacks into 1.1625 – 1.1640 and add on momentum through 1.1700, with invalidation at 1.1565. The macro backdrop continues to favor a softer USD (easier Fed expectations and cooler yields) against a steadier ECB tone, while price action has carved out a durable base around 1.16. Options and flow dynamics reinforce that floor, creating attractive asymmetry toward 1.1725 and 1.1760 into week-end. EURUSD Trade Setup Analysis: Pair /…...

EUR/USD today earns our A+ (3/3) conviction for the remainder of the week, with fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment all aligned. We favor a long bias, looking to buy pullbacks into 1.1580–1.1600 and add on momentum through 1.1640, with invalidation at 1.1525. The macro backdrop, softening USD on easier Fed expectations against a steadier ECB stance, pairs cleanly with a constructive technical base around 1.16 (higher lows and improving momentum). Positioning and flow also support topside extension, with liquidity pockets above recent highs offering favorable reward-to-risk toward 1.1700 and 1.1760. EURUSD Trade Setup Analysis: Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop…...

As of Tuesday, 14 October 2025 (UK time), USD/JPY is probing the historically sensitive 152 – 153 band, a zone that has repeatedly attracted official attention and supply. Our A+ (3/3) short-fade setup is built on three pillars. Fundamentals: Elevated risk of Ministry of Finance jawboning/intervention at stretched levels with the Fed’s near-term tone in focus; Technicals: Multi-cycle resistance at 152–153 with a well-defined intraday range anchored around 151.3 – 152.7. Sentiment: Crowded anti-JPY exposure that leaves late USD/JPY longs vulnerable to downside squeezes. The objective is to monetize mean reversion from supply with tight, unambiguous invalidation if resistance truly…...

Gold Trade Setup Analysis – 13.10.25 At the time of writing, Monday 13 Oct 2025, gold trades at 4074.43 (+1.39%), sustaining fresh record highs above the $4,000 polarity level. The bid is underpinned by persistent U.S. / China tariff risk, firm central-bank demand, and rate-cut expectations into a temporary U.S. data vacuum (CPI rescheduled to 24 Oct). With the U.S. bond market holiday thinning liquidity today, price discovery is magnified around round strikes (4,000/4,100). Near-term catalysts that can amplify momentum or produce tactical dips include OPEC’s MOMR (today), Powell at NABE (Tue), China CPI/PPI (Wed), and U.S. PPI (Thu). Against…...

AUDJPY Trade Setup Analysis – 13.10.25 Today we are looking AUD/JPY with the pair siting just under the psychologically important 100.00 handle after a corrective pop, with the macro, technical, and positioning picture aligned for downside. Fundamentally, tariff and China-growth uncertainty remain AUD-negative, while any risk-off wobble tends to favor JPY. Near-term China CPI / PPI and Australia labor data keep asymmetric headline risk to the downside for AUD, and persistent BOJ / MOF sensitivity to rapid yen weakness raises the probability of JPY-supportive jawboning on spikes. Technically, the pair has repeatedly failed around 100.00, carving lower highs and leaving…...

USDJPY Trade Setup Analysis – 13th October On Monday 13th October we’ll be looking closely at USD/JPY at it heads into the new week on the back foot. Following a sharp Friday reversal, sliding from fresh cycle highs near 152.8 – 153.0 to close around 151.15. The macro impulse flipped tactically yen-supportive: risk assets wobbled on renewed U.S. / China tariff escalation while UST yields fell, compressing the UST – JGB spread that had been powering the move higher. Japan’s MoF also intensified its “one-sided, rapid moves” rhetoric, still verbal for now. This was enough to dampen momentum and incentivize…...

Gold Trade Setup – 10.10.2025 As of Fri, 10 Oct 2025 (07:33 UK), gold is hovering near 3971 after a week that printed fresh records above $4,000. Today’s softer tone reflects firmer USD/USTs and some haven-premium bleed, but the A+ case (3/3) remains: central-bank accumulation and steady ETF interest underpin dips, while the technical structure still trends up with $4,000 acting as a high-gravity pivot. Our plan is simple and disciplined: buy 3955–3935, add 3915–3895, and only take a momentum add on a clean reclaim/hold above 4005. Risk is defined by a daily close below 3885; initial upside objectives remain…...

EURUSD Trade Setup – 10.8.25 EURUSD opens the mid-week session heavy near 1.16 after a steady grind lower through Asia and Europe, with price now trading beneath the 1.17 big figure that capped rebounds earlier in the week. The macro mix skews bearish for the euro: French political risk continues to widen OAT–Bund spreads and sap confidence, while German factory-order softness reinforces a subdued growth pulse just as the market leans toward a still-supportive USD into tonight’s FOMC Minutes. Technically, the pair has shifted from range to downside extension, prior support at 1.1660 – 1.1720 has flipped to first resistance,…...