Author: TerraBullMarkets

USDCHF Analysis – 30th May The dollar-franc bounce that followed Wednesday’s tariff headlines has already run out of steam. Thursday’s relief bid lifted USD/CHF to 0.8348, but the move stalled exactly at the 20-day exponential average and just below the 50-day line—levels that capped every recovery wave since late April. A swift retreat back through 0.8300 leaves the broader down-trend intact. USDCHF Fundamentals tilt south Tariff uncertainty resurfaces: a federal appeals court has only paused the lower court’s injunction; the White House vows to re-impose duties “another way.” The lack of clarity keeps risk demand fragile and underpins safe-haven CHF…...

GBPUSD Trade Idea – 29th MayThe shock US-court ruling that President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs overstepped constitutional limits has knocked a key prop from beneath the US Dollar just as the British macro picture begins to brighten.  UK growth is being revised higher (IMF now at 1.2 % for 2025), retail sales and service-CPI are re-accelerating and BoE officials show little appetite for another cut in June.By contrast, the Fed remains in “wait-and-see” mode and tariff uncertainty clouds the US outlook.  Technically, GBP/USD has merely pulled back to the 1.3430–1.3450 breakout shelf while its January up-channel and rising 20-day EMA stay intact. That combination…...

Track all markets on TradingView USDJPY Analysis – 28th May A two-day rebound in USD/JPY—initiated by Japan’s plan to tame super-long JGB yields and a brief risk-on lift from Trump’s tariff 50% delay on the EU—has pushed the pair back into a well-defined supply zone but has not altered the broader bearish constellation: Macro divergence: the Bank of Japan (BoJ) still hints at additional rate hikes, while the Fed’s baseline remains two cuts in 2025; U.S. fiscal concerns add a structural head-wind to the dollar. Yield mechanics: trimming super-long JGB issuance paused the yield surge, yet official comments suggest the…...

27th May Forex Trade Ideas – USDCHF Analysis With the U.S. dollar still laboring under fiscal-deficit worries and trade-policy whiplash, while safe-haven demand oscillates around shifting tariff deadlines, we have narrowed the focus to three trade ideas offering good reward-to-risk. Every set-up is backed by a clear macro narrative—ranging from haven inflows into the Swiss franc and yen to the tariff-delay lift for the euro and sterling—and, crucially, by clean technical structures that let stops sit close to logical invalidation points. Live prices (11-15 BST) have dropped three of the trades directly into their preferred entry zones and left two…...

Track all markets on TradingView 26th May Trade Ideas – USDCHF Analysis Global FX flows have snapped back into “Sell-America, Buy Havens & Europe” mode after President Trump postponed the 50 % EU-tariff threat to 9 July and markets re-priced the U.S. fiscal outlook sharply lower. The result has been a broad USD slide to one-month lows, firmer safe-haven demand for the Swiss franc and yen, and a fresh breakout in the euro. With these macro tail-winds now aligned with clean technical structures, four trade ideas stand out for their high probability: Rank Pair / Direction Entry LevelStop Loss Targets Detailed…...

GBPUSD Analysis – Trade Ideas 23rd May Global FX markets remain driven by three dominant narratives: (i) mounting US-fiscal concerns after the House-passed “One Big Beautiful Bill” and Moody’s downgrade, (ii) divergent monetary-policy paths between a data-dependent Fed, a cautiously-dovish ECB and a steadily more hawkish Bank of Japan, and (iii) shifting risk-sentiment as traders weigh soft-landing hopes against fresh trade-war and geopolitical headlines. The result is a softer US Dollar, renewed bid for the Japanese Yen and selective strength in European currencies. Against this backdrop we have isolated four high-conviction opportunities—two momentum-continuation plays (long GBP/USD, short USD/JPY) and two…...

Forex Trade Ideas 22nd May – USDJPY Analysis FX markets opened Thursday under a markedly different backdrop from just one week ago. The US Dollar continues to feel the weight of Moody’s downgrade, Congressional wrangling over a debt-expanding tax bill and a soft-patch in US data, while Federal-Reserve commentary remains resolutely “wait-and-see.” Conversely, the Japanese Yen is drawing support from an upswing in domestic hard data (record machinery orders) and increasingly explicit Bank-of-Japan warnings that further rate increases remain on the table. The British pound has regained the performance lead after April CPI printed a full percentage point above March,…...

Forex Outlook 21st May – High Conviction Trade Ideas Global FX markets have opened the mid-week session on a defensive footing after Moody’s stripped the United States of its last “AAA” sovereign rating, U.S.–China tech friction re-intensified and safe-haven demand resurfaced. The dollar index has slipped back under 100.0 as traders fold rate-cut expectations back into the 2025 curve, while yields have retreated from last Friday’s highs. At the same time, the policy-divergence narrative has sharpened: Bank of Japan Deputy-Governor Uchida reiterated that another rate hike remains on the table for 2025, whereas Fed officials emphasized a “wait-and-see” stance considering…...

Forex Outlook 20th May – 5 Conviction Trade Ideas Forex Outlook 20th May: Global FX markets are starting the week with a markedly defensive tone. Moody’s surprise downgrade of US sovereign credit to Aa1 has amplified questions over Washington’s fiscal trajectory, while a dovish repricing of Federal Reserve expectations continues to drain support for the US-Dollar. At the same time, Bank of Japan officials are signaling that 2025 may bring further rate hikes, the Bank of England is openly debating a “higher-for-longer” stance after a solid UK GDP rebound, and the European Central Bank appears comfortable delivering a June cut…...

Forex Outlook 19th May – High Conviction Trade Ideas Financial markets open the week on a defensive footing. Moody’s surprise downgrade of the US sovereign rating to Aa1 has intensified risk-aversion, knocking US-equity futures, steepening the Treasury curve and trimming the US-Dollar’s post-tariff-truce advance. At the same time, policy rhetoric diverges sharply: Bank of Japan officials openly discuss scope for additional rate hikes, while Federal-Reserve speakers acknowledge softer inflation data but retain “wait-and-see” language. Against this backdrop, we concentrate on four currency pairs where macro-fundamentals, policy expectations and technical structure align to present high-conviction, ≥2:1 risk-reward opportunities over the next…...