Author: TerraBullMarkets

Track all markets on TradingView Forex Daily Analysis – USD/CHF, EUR/USD, GBP/USD & USD/CADAs June trading begins, currency markets are dominated by renewed volatility driven by escalating US trade tensions, fresh tariff threats, and growing fiscal concerns. President Trump’s decision to increase steel and aluminum tariffs, coupled with deepening trade disputes with China, have significantly weakened the US Dollar. Meanwhile, central bank expectations have diverged notably, with investors reassessing their outlook for the ECB, BoE, BoC, and SNB in light of shifting economic indicators and policy signals. These dynamics create high-conviction trade opportunities in the currency markets, particularly favoring short…...

USDCHF Analysis – 30th May The dollar-franc bounce that followed Wednesday’s tariff headlines has already run out of steam. Thursday’s relief bid lifted USD/CHF to 0.8348, but the move stalled exactly at the 20-day exponential average and just below the 50-day line—levels that capped every recovery wave since late April. A swift retreat back through 0.8300 leaves the broader down-trend intact. USDCHF Fundamentals tilt south Tariff uncertainty resurfaces: a federal appeals court has only paused the lower court’s injunction; the White House vows to re-impose duties “another way.” The lack of clarity keeps risk demand fragile and underpins safe-haven CHF…...

GBPUSD Trade Idea – 29th MayThe shock US-court ruling that President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs overstepped constitutional limits has knocked a key prop from beneath the US Dollar just as the British macro picture begins to brighten.  UK growth is being revised higher (IMF now at 1.2 % for 2025), retail sales and service-CPI are re-accelerating and BoE officials show little appetite for another cut in June.By contrast, the Fed remains in “wait-and-see” mode and tariff uncertainty clouds the US outlook.  Technically, GBP/USD has merely pulled back to the 1.3430–1.3450 breakout shelf while its January up-channel and rising 20-day EMA stay intact. That combination…...

Track all markets on TradingView USDJPY Analysis – 28th May A two-day rebound in USD/JPY—initiated by Japan’s plan to tame super-long JGB yields and a brief risk-on lift from Trump’s tariff 50% delay on the EU—has pushed the pair back into a well-defined supply zone but has not altered the broader bearish constellation: Macro divergence: the Bank of Japan (BoJ) still hints at additional rate hikes, while the Fed’s baseline remains two cuts in 2025; U.S. fiscal concerns add a structural head-wind to the dollar. Yield mechanics: trimming super-long JGB issuance paused the yield surge, yet official comments suggest the…...

27th May Forex Trade Ideas – USDCHF Analysis With the U.S. dollar still laboring under fiscal-deficit worries and trade-policy whiplash, while safe-haven demand oscillates around shifting tariff deadlines, we have narrowed the focus to three trade ideas offering good reward-to-risk. Every set-up is backed by a clear macro narrative—ranging from haven inflows into the Swiss franc and yen to the tariff-delay lift for the euro and sterling—and, crucially, by clean technical structures that let stops sit close to logical invalidation points. Live prices (11-15 BST) have dropped three of the trades directly into their preferred entry zones and left two…...

Track all markets on TradingView 26th May Trade Ideas – USDCHF Analysis Global FX flows have snapped back into “Sell-America, Buy Havens & Europe” mode after President Trump postponed the 50 % EU-tariff threat to 9 July and markets re-priced the U.S. fiscal outlook sharply lower. The result has been a broad USD slide to one-month lows, firmer safe-haven demand for the Swiss franc and yen, and a fresh breakout in the euro. With these macro tail-winds now aligned with clean technical structures, four trade ideas stand out for their high probability: Rank Pair / Direction Entry LevelStop Loss Targets Detailed…...

GBPUSD Analysis – Trade Ideas 23rd May Global FX markets remain driven by three dominant narratives: (i) mounting US-fiscal concerns after the House-passed “One Big Beautiful Bill” and Moody’s downgrade, (ii) divergent monetary-policy paths between a data-dependent Fed, a cautiously-dovish ECB and a steadily more hawkish Bank of Japan, and (iii) shifting risk-sentiment as traders weigh soft-landing hopes against fresh trade-war and geopolitical headlines. The result is a softer US Dollar, renewed bid for the Japanese Yen and selective strength in European currencies. Against this backdrop we have isolated four high-conviction opportunities—two momentum-continuation plays (long GBP/USD, short USD/JPY) and two…...

Forex Trade Ideas 22nd May – USDJPY Analysis FX markets opened Thursday under a markedly different backdrop from just one week ago. The US Dollar continues to feel the weight of Moody’s downgrade, Congressional wrangling over a debt-expanding tax bill and a soft-patch in US data, while Federal-Reserve commentary remains resolutely “wait-and-see.” Conversely, the Japanese Yen is drawing support from an upswing in domestic hard data (record machinery orders) and increasingly explicit Bank-of-Japan warnings that further rate increases remain on the table. The British pound has regained the performance lead after April CPI printed a full percentage point above March,…...

Forex Outlook 21st May – High Conviction Trade Ideas Global FX markets have opened the mid-week session on a defensive footing after Moody’s stripped the United States of its last “AAA” sovereign rating, U.S.–China tech friction re-intensified and safe-haven demand resurfaced. The dollar index has slipped back under 100.0 as traders fold rate-cut expectations back into the 2025 curve, while yields have retreated from last Friday’s highs. At the same time, the policy-divergence narrative has sharpened: Bank of Japan Deputy-Governor Uchida reiterated that another rate hike remains on the table for 2025, whereas Fed officials emphasized a “wait-and-see” stance considering…...

Forex Outlook 20th May – 5 Conviction Trade Ideas Forex Outlook 20th May: Global FX markets are starting the week with a markedly defensive tone. Moody’s surprise downgrade of US sovereign credit to Aa1 has amplified questions over Washington’s fiscal trajectory, while a dovish repricing of Federal Reserve expectations continues to drain support for the US-Dollar. At the same time, Bank of Japan officials are signaling that 2025 may bring further rate hikes, the Bank of England is openly debating a “higher-for-longer” stance after a solid UK GDP rebound, and the European Central Bank appears comfortable delivering a June cut…...