Author: TerraBullMarkets

The Federal Reserve delivers its October policy decision on Wednesday, with the statement due at 19:00 UK and Chair Powell’s press conference at 19:30 UK. Markets are finely balanced between relief at gradually cooling inflation and concern over a softening labor backdrop, leaving the policy path beyond October highly sensitive to the Fed’s tone. In this preview, we set out Our Call for the rate decision and Our View on the press conference, highlighting the key phrases to watch, how they could shift expectations for December, and the likely cross-asset reactions. For traders, the absence of a new dot plot…

Gold begins the week at elevated levels near the psychologically important 4,000 handle, where liquidity and option interest typically concentrate. Our high-conviction stance is to fade strength into 3,995 – 4,010, seeking to exploit asymmetric downside risk should U.S. yields and the dollar firm on policy and data impulses. This view earns our A+ (3/3) rating because fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment/positioning are aligned: policy guidance and inflation expectations remain the key macro drivers, 4,000 is a well-defined supply/stop zone technically, and positioning is prone to squeezes/unwinds around round numbers. Execution-wise, we prefer patience and precision: wait for a clear rejection…...

USD/JPY is pinned just below the 152 handle into a dense policy window, with the short-on-rallies thesis intact. The macro skew remains for a narrowing rate-differential, the Fed is poised to ease while BoJ optics are incrementally less dovish, reducing the one-way USD carry tailwind. Officials’ sensitivity to “rapid, one-sided” FX moves keeps the downside asymmetry alive. Technically, repeated failures above 152 – 153, fading momentum, and well-mapped stop pockets create an attractive environment to fade strength into 151.95 – 152.40, keep risk tight above 153.10, and add on confirmation below 151.50. With sizeable option interest around 153.00 today and…...

Gold enters the week trading near $4,075 (07:02 UK), coming off a sharp pullback from mid-October highs above $4,100. Our A+ (3/3) conviction this week is sell-the-bounce: we’re looking to fade strength into $4,115 – 4,135 (with a tactical add on a weak $4,040 – $4,060 retest) against a tight, clearly defined invalidation at $4,168 or any daily close >$4,160. Initial downside magnets sit at $4,010 and $3,980, with a stretch target to $3,925. The edge comes from alignment across fundamentals (event-risk path skewed to near-term USD/real-yield resilience into the Fed), technicals (first lower-high sell zone at prior breakdown/round-number supply),…...

USD/JPY begins the week perched just under the 153.00 big figure, an area that has repeatedly capped rallies and carries heavy optionality and stop activity. Our A+ (3/3) short-biased setup rests on three aligned pillars. Fundamentally: Markets lean toward easier U.S. policy guidance over the near term while BoJ risk skews less-dovish, narrowing policy-spread tailwinds that have powered the pair higher. Technically: 153.00 – 153.40 is a well-defined supply zone with multiple prior rejections and a clean downside ladder toward 151s/150s if momentum turns. Sentiment: Current sentiment adds confluence: crowded carry and dealer gamma around the big figures suggest asymmetric payoff…...

Silver (XAGUSD) enters the week at the cusp of a major inflection, testing the psychological $50 handle after a sustained advance alongside gold and resilient industrial demand. Our A+ (3/3) Silver Trade Setup is reserved for moments when fundamentals, technicals, and positioning align with unusual clarity. Today is Thursday, 23 October 2025 (UK), and the backdrop checks those boxes: a structurally tight physical market, supportive cross-asset risk signals, and a clean continuation pattern built through multi-session consolidation just beneath $50. In this regime, our strategy prioritizes two complementary tactics, a disciplined pullback entry and a momentum confirmation on a decisive…...

GBP/USD opens the day under pressure again, near 1.3328, and our strategy team assigns this setup an A+ (3/3) conviction score, where fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment/positioning are aligned. On the macro side, the balance of risks tilts modestly USD-supportive while UK growth and inflation dynamics keep the BoE on a cautious path relative to the Fed. Technically, price action continues to respect a well-defined supply band into 1.3360 – 1.3410, with momentum rolling over after repeated failures there. Broader sentiment adds confluence: sterling remains sold on rallies, while downside liquidity and dealer stop pockets sit just beneath recent lows. Together,…...

At TerraBull Markets, we reserve our A+ (3/3) grades for trade ideas where fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment/positioning align with high conviction, gold currently fits that bill. After printing fresh highs and easing modestly in the Asian session, price is pulling back toward the recent breakout base, an area that historically attracts dip demand when real yields are soft and risk hedging is in play. Macro drivers remain supportive into the week’s marquee data: policy expectations skew toward easier financial conditions, global growth signals are mixed (which typically lifts strategic allocation to bullion), and official-sector/ETF demand continues to underpin dips. On…...

EUR/USD enters the new week with a constructive backdrop, earning our A+ (3/3) rating as fundamentals, technicals, and positioning align. On the macro side, the ECB looks set to stay steady while the Fed’s tone has softened into late-October, tilting the policy-spread narrative in the euro’s favor. Technically, price has carved out higher-lows around the 1.16 handle, with a topside magnet into 1.1750 / 1.1800 if momentum kicks on. Options flow and recent expiry “gravity” between 1.1600 – 1.1700 support dip-buying behavior, while obvious liquidity pockets sit above that range. Our plan focuses on accumulating on controlled pullbacks and leaning…...

USD/JPY begins the week trading around 150.64 (Mon 20 Oct 2025, 05:56 UK) with a clear buy-on-dips bias. The setup earns an A+ (3/3) because all three pillars align: (1) Fundamentals: The Bank of Japan remains cautious into its late-October meeting, while the domestic political backdrop still leans pro-stimulus, keeping real-rate differentials supportive of a firmer USD/JPY. (2) Technicals: The 150.00 – 151.00 zone has acted as a durable base, with 151.20 the momentum trigger and stop-pockets seen above 151.90 / 152.00. (3) Sentiment: Risk-on tone out of Asia and dealer flow indicate demand on pullbacks, with optionality likely defending…...