EUR/USD begins the new week under pressure as the market re-prices near-term U.S. growth expectations and focuses on a dense run of U.S. releases that can quickly shift rate differentials and broad USD demand. With liquidity returning after the holiday period, intraday volatility is picking up, particularly around major event windows where pricing can “snap” from range to trend. For EUR/USD, that means the New York cut (15:00 UK time), the WMR 4pm London fix (16:00 UK time), and any high-impact U.S. data that can re-anchor expectations for yields and the dollar. This trade setup is built around a simple, repeatable premise: sell into well-defined resistance where risk can be tightly controlled, rather than chasing price in the middle of the range. With key strike levels and round-number liquidity often acting as magnets ahead of the cut, patience and precision matter, waiting for the market to show its hand before committing size. EUR/USD Trade Setup: Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (fundamentals, Technicals, Sentiment) Near-term catalysts (UK time) EUR/USD SHORT – Sell rallies into 1.1700 – 1.1710 (ideal: pre-15:00 pin), add on rejection 1.1730 – 1.1750 Daily close > 1.1765 T1: 1.1630 T2: 1.1600 Fundamentals: USD supported into US data; Technicals: big-figure + heavy nearby strikes create clean fade zone; Sentiment: expiry “gravity” around 1.1700 with stop air below 1.1670 15:00: NY cut (options) & US ISM Mfg • 16:00 London fix Chart by TradingView – EUR/USD Trade Setup – 5th Jan Conclusion: EUR/USD offers clean, high-probability opportunities when you let price come to you: rallies into resistance are the higher-quality entry, with invalidation clearly defined if the market accepts above the level. If EUR/USD rejects resistance and rolls over, the setup favours follow-through lower toward the next downside liquidity pocket; if the pair holds above resistance after the major liquidity windows, the bearish premise is invalidated and the correct decision is to step aside and reassess. As always, execution is the edge. Respect the event calendar, avoid overtrading during the most chaotic minutes around the NY cut and the London fix, and keep sizing disciplined. A selective approach, entering only when the market aligns with the setup, turns EUR/USD volatility into opportunity rather than noise. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; manage exposure accordingly. For similar FX Trade Setups please visit our FX Trade Ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. TerraBullMarkets...
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