EURCHF Trade Setup – 25/9/25 EUR/CHF is setting up on the long side as policy and price action align into today’s SNB decision. After months of gradual mean reversion from sub – 0.92, spot has carved a durable base above 0.93, with shallow pullbacks and tighter intraday ranges suggesting dip absorption rather than distribution. The immediate focus is the 0.9310 – 0.9340 demand shelf and a momentum trigger through 0.9380 that would open the path toward 0.9430 / 0.9500. From a macro lens, the balance of risks tilts against an overtly strong franc. Swiss inflation has cooled back toward target and the SNB’s reaction function remains highly exchange-rate sensitive; policymakers have repeatedly signaled they will lean against excessive CHF appreciation, whether via guidance or balance-sheet operations – especially when a firmer franc risks undercutting imported-price stability. Against that backdrop, an as-expected hold paired with neutral-to-dovish FX language typically biases EUR/CHF higher on relief and position cleanup. Technically, the pair is respecting higher lows since August and holding above the 20/50-day cluster, with stop-rich pockets identified below 0.9280 – 0.9270 and upside air toward 0.9430 once 0.9380 gives way. Sentiment and positioning also support a topside skew: CHF safe-haven demand has faded alongside calmer equity volatility (VIX mid-teens), and recent sight-deposit dynamics suggest the SNB is comfortable with a modestly softer franc. Put together, buying dips into 0.9310 – 0.9340 and adding on a confirmed break of 0.9380 offers clean structure with well-defined risk beneath the base. EURCHF Trade Setup: Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ Near-term catalysts (UK time) EUR/CHF 0.9339 Long on dips 0.9310 –0.9340; add through 0.9380 Hard 0.9250; invalidate on daily close <0.9270 0.9430 – 0.9500 Fundamentals: SNB widely expected to hold at 0.00%; Schlegel flagged a high bar to negative rates; SNB still prefers FX operations if needed—skews risk toward a modestly softer CHF on an as-expected hold. Technicals: Multi-week base above 0.93 with defined risk. Stops: Under 0.9280 swing-lows. Thu 08:30 – SNB rate decision; 09:00 SNB presser. Chart by TradingView – EURCHF Trade Setup – 25/9/25 This remains an A+ long while price holds the 0.9310 – 0.9340 base and momentum confirms above 0.9380. The setup is clean: policy skew (SNB comfortable with a modestly softer CHF when inflation is contained), structure (higher lows, tight base), and sentiment (easing haven demand with VIX mid-teens) align for a measured topside extension. Execution summary Primary plan: Buy dips 0.9310–0.9340 – add on a decisive break/hold >0.9380. Risk: Hard stop 0.9250; thesis invalidated on a daily close <0.9270. Targets: 0.9430 (TP1) to de-risk and trail; 0.9500 (TP2) on follow-through. Tactics: Ahead of the SNB decision, keep initial size modest. Post-headline, avoid chasing the first spike; look for a 5–15 min stabilization and re-test of the breakout level (0.9380) to add. Key risks & how to respond Hawkish SNB surprise / explicit tolerance for stronger CHF: Expect a quick flush through 0.9310 -respect the stop; stand aside until a new base forms or daily close reclaims >0.9310. Risk-off shock (CHF haven bid) or soft Euro data: If the base breaks and we close <0.9270, shelve the long bias and reassess for a range move back toward 0.9200. False breakout risk: If >0.9380 fails intraday, keep the add-on light and trail to breakeven once TP1 tags to avoid round-trips. Bottom line: With clearly defined levels, supportive macro tone, and nearby catalysts to unlock participation, buy-the-dip and add-on-break offers attractive asymmetry. Stay disciplined around the base and let the market confirm through 0.9380 before pressing for 0.9430 / 0.9500. For similar Forex Trade Signals please visit our forex trade ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. 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