EURCHF Trade Setup – 3/9/2025

EURCHF Trade Setup – 3/9/2025 EURCHF is setting up as a high-conviction long with fundamentals, technicals, and positioning pulling in the same direction. On the macro side, the SNB’s easy stance and willingness to lean against CHF strength leave the franc with a softer bias, while the euro’s data pulse has stabilized, reducing downside tails for EUR. Technically, price continues to hold a 0.932–0.935 support basin, offering a well-defined place to lean against, with clear upside triggers at 0.9385, 0.9420, and 0.9480. Sentiment and dealer positioning are benign—CHF’s haven bid remains muted outside of risk shocks—so dips are more likely to be absorbed than extended. With event risk clustered over the next 48–72 hours, the setup favors staged entries on weakness and add-ons once momentum reasserts. EURCHF Trade Setup: Pair / Asset (Ref Px) Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (fundamentals • technicals • sentiment/positioning) Near-term catalysts (UK time) EUR/CHF (0.9365) Long. Primary: 0.9355–0.9370 (stagger 2–3 clips). Validation if filled sub-0.9360: seek M5–M15 close back >0.9360. Adds: >0.9385 (reclaim), >0.9420 (continuation), larger add >0.9480. Tactical: 0.9335. Structural: 0.9315 (below basin). 0.9425 (T1) → 0.9480 (T2); stretch 0.9550. Fundamentals: SNB’s easy stance/FX-leaning keeps CHF softer; EUR data pulse stable. Technicals: Holding the 0.932–0.935 base; clear reclaim triggers 0.9385/0.9420/0.9480. Sentiment/positioning: CHF haven bid subdued unless risk-off; flows supportive on dips. Today 13:15 ADP • Thu 06:30 Swiss CPI • Thu 15:00 ISM Services • Fri 13:30 NFP. Conclusion Taken together, the case to be long EUR/CHF is A+ (3/3): fundamentals (SNB-easier/CHF-soft), technicals (defended base with clean breakout levels), and sentiment/positioning (no crowded longs; haven bid subdued) align. The game plan is straightforward: stagger entries into 0.9355–0.9370, validate with an M5–M15 close back above 0.9360, and add through 0.9385 and 0.9420, with a larger add above 0.9480. Keep risk tight—tactical invalidation at 0.9335 and structural at 0.9315—and aim for 0.9425 and 0.9480 initially, with 0.9550 as a stretch if the CHF-weak theme persists. Manage size around ADP, Swiss CPI, ISM Services, and NFP—flatten or trim into prints if needed—and let the trade work from a position of defined risk and asymmetric reward. For similar Forex Trade Setups please visit our forex trade ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.         TerraBullMarkets...