EURJPY Trade Idea – 11/9/2025

EURJPY Trade Idea – 11/9/2025 EURJPY Trade Idea: We’re treating 173.00–173.80 as the primary fade zone in EUR/JPY, with a tactical add only on a clear wick/rejection in 174.10–174.40. Risk is tightly defined at 174.60 (or a daily close >174.40). The edge is three-fold: fundamentals (ECB likely cautious while the yen retains haven support into next week’s BoJ), technicals (repeated failures beneath 174–175 with rising-wedge risk), and positioning (EUR long vs JPY long—an ECB underwhelm plus any risk-off tends to push the cross lower). Initial magnets sit at 171.10, then 169.40. Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+  Near-term catalysts (UK time) EUR/JPY Short into strength 173.00–173.80; optional add 174.10–174.40 only on a wick/reject 174.60 (or daily close >174.40) 171.10 / 169.40 Fundamentals: ECB expected to be cautious; JPY retains haven bid into BoJ → downside asymmetry. Technicals: Price repeatedly stalls under 174–175 supply; rising-wedge risk. Positioning: EUR long ~119.6k vs JPY long ~73k—ECB disappointment + risk-off favors lower. Today: ECB 13:15/13:45, US CPI 13:30 Next week: BoJ 18–19 Sep. (Reuters) Chart by TradingView – EURJPY Trade Idea Conclusion — Execution & Risk Let price probe the zone and sell the rejection, not the level: look for a 15–60m momentum roll, failed break, or upper-shadow close back below ~173.80. Work 171.10 for first partials and trail to breakeven; hold a runner toward 169.40 if risk softens post-data. Around the event window—ECB 13:15/13:45, US CPI 13:30—expect headline spikes; keep size modest and re-enter on confirmed signals if whipsawed. If the market closes above 174.40/60, stand down—the structure shifts from fade to neutral and the A+ short no longer applies until a new setup forms. For similar Forex Trade Setups please visit our forex trade ideas page. Please visit our  Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.   TerraBullMarkets...