EURUSD Trade Setup – 10.8.25

EURUSD Trade Setup – 10.8.25 EURUSD opens the mid-week session heavy near 1.16 after a steady grind lower through Asia and Europe, with price now trading beneath the 1.17 big figure that capped rebounds earlier in the week. The macro mix skews bearish for the euro: French political risk continues to widen OAT–Bund spreads and sap confidence, while German factory-order softness reinforces a subdued growth pulse just as the market leans toward a still-supportive USD into tonight’s FOMC Minutes. Technically, the pair has shifted from range to downside extension, prior support at 1.1660 – 1.1720 has flipped to first resistance, momentum is negative on multi-timeframes, and liquidity pockets sit below 1.1600. Sentiment / Positioning and flow dynamics add to the asymmetry: dealer interest and resting stops are likely clustered under 1.1600, with supply layered back into 1.1660 / 1.1700, creating clean areas to sell strength with well-defined risk. EURUSD Trade Setup: Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (fundamentals, technicals, sentiment/positioning) Near-term catalysts (UK time) EUR/USD 1.1624  Sell strength 1.1640 – 1.1665; add on <1.1600 acceptance. Daily close >1.1705 1.1540 –  1.1480 Fundamentals: France political crisis (PM Lecornu resigned; wider OAT-Bund spread/credit worries) weighs on the euro; German factory orders -0.8% m/m adds to softness. USD side underpinned into tonight’s minutes. Technicals: Fresh breakdown beneath the 1.1700 figure; resistance now 1.1660 – 1.1720. Sentiment: Sell-stops clustered <1.1600; buy-stops >1.1720 / 1.1760 near prior shelf. Today 07:00–08:00: Germany Industrial Production (Aug) already soft. 19:00: FOMC minutes. Ongoing France headlines all week. Chart by TradingView – EURUSD Trade Setup – 10.8.2025 Conclusion — EUR/USD While EUR/USD holds below 1.1660 – 1.1700, the path of least resistance remains lower. We’ll continue looking to short rallies into 1.1640 – 1.1665 and add on sustained acceptance below 1.1600, targeting 1.1540 initially and 1.1480 on follow-through. Risk is tight and tactical: a daily close back above 1.1705 or a material easing of French risk (OAT–Bund spread narrowing) invalidates the immediate bearish impulse and argues for de-risking. Manage the position dynamically, trail stops above successive lower highs, take partials into 1.1540, and move to breakeven once sub-1.1600 prints hold into the London close. We will keep event risk front-of-mind (FOMC Minutes this evening and incoming Eurozone data); absent a clear positive euro surprise, rallies should be sold and momentum favors continuation to the downside. For similar Forex Trade Signals please visit our forex trade ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. TerraBullMarkets...