Commodities Trade Ideas

Gold Trade Setup -13th Jan

Gold remains firmly in focus as the market heads into a catalyst-heavy session, with price action being driven by a mix of macro uncertainty, real-yield sensitivity, and positioning dynamics into key liquidity windows. With Gold prices holding near elevated levels, traders should be prepared for sharp, two-way volatility around the London AM/PM fixes and the US data window, where liquidity pockets often trigger rapid stop-runs before the next directional leg develops. Today’s plan is built to capture A+ (3/3) conditions only, aligning fundamentals, technical structure, and sentiment/flow, while clearly defining invalidation to manage risk through potential whipsaw. Gold Trade Setup: Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (Fundamentals, Technicals, Sentiment) Near-term catalysts & liquidity (UK time) GOLD  LONG – Buy breakout above 4,605 (5 – 15m hold) or buy dip 4,545 – 4,565 if CPI spike-down holds Breakout: below 4,585. Dip-buy: below 4,520 T1: 4,650  T2: 4,720 Weekly Target: 4,800 Fundamentals: Fed-independence uncertainty & softer USD impulse supports gold. Gold’s bid is being driven by a macro mix that consistently supports allocation into hard assets: policy uncertainty / credibility risk, and the market’s sensitivity to the path of real yields and the USD into key US data. Technicals: vertical momentum. gold is in a momentum / breakout regime: structure is making higher highs / higher lows, and pullbacks have been shallow and quickly absorbed (classic “trend-day” behavior when it goes). Sentiment: Safe-haven & trend followers. Sentiment remains supportive because gold is attracting both trend-following momentum flows and defensive hedging demand in the same direction. Tues 13th Jan 10:30: London AM fix (vol spike), 13:30: US CPI  15:00: London PM fix (often the biggest squeeze), NY afternoon follow-through Chart by TradingView – Gold Trade Setup -13th Jan Conclusion: Execution is key at these levels: avoid chasing candles, respect the fix-driven volatility, and let price confirm through either a clean breakout/hold or a controlled dip into support before committing risk. If the setup triggers, manage the trade actively into the next liquidity event (fix or data) and be open to partial profit-taking at first targets, as Gold frequently overshoots and then mean-reverts in thin pockets. If invalidation is hit, step aside, the edge is gone, and reassess after the next event. This is a high-opportunity environment for Gold, but only for disciplined execution with clear levels, tight risk parameters, and patience for confirmation. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; manage exposure accordingly. For similar Gold Trade Setups please visit our Commodities Trade Ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. TerraBullMarkets...

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