Gold Trade Setup - 22nd Dec 2025
Gold remains firmly in control of the tape after punching into fresh all-time-high territory, with price action showing the classic hallmarks of a strong trend regime: shallow pullbacks, quick dip-buying, and rapid recaptures of key levels. Into a holiday-thinned Christmas week, that matters, liquidity conditions tend to magnify both momentum continuation and stop-driven volatility, making clearly defined levels and disciplined risk management even more important. From a macro standpoint, the backdrop continues to support bullion: markets are highly sensitive to any shift in US growth and labor data, and any move that pressures real yields or revives risk-off demand can keep gold bid. With catalysts clustered into a short week, our plan focuses on an A+ structure: buying pullbacks into the breakout zone or buying a clean hold above the breakout level, with tight invalidation and asymmetric upside targets. Gold Trade Setup: Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (Fundamentals, Technicals, Sentiment) Near-term catalysts (UK time) GOLD LONG – Buy dips / buy breakout: 1) buy 4,385 – 4,400 pullbacks 2) buy clean hold > 4,415 < 4,340 (hard invalidation); if breakout-entry then back below 4,395 T1: 4,480 T2: 4,550 T3: 4,650 (extension) Fundamentals: Gold just broke 4,400 for the first time on rate-cut expectations & safe-haven demand, with commentary highlighting geopolitical risk and strong underlying demand. Technicals: Fresh ATH breakout. Our identified trend regime; buying pullbacks to the breakout zone is the highest hit-rate structure in melt-up markets. Sentiment: The move is being framed as structurally supported (central-bank/ETF style demand narrative), not just a one-day spike. Tue 23 Dec 13:30: US GDP (Q3 initial estimate). (Bureau of Economic Analysis) Wed 24 Dec 13:30: US Jobless Claims. Chart by TradingView – Gold Trade Setup – 22nd Dec Conclusion This is a straightforward trend-following play: respect the breakout, buy dips into support, and let the trend do the heavy lifting, but only while the market continues to hold above the defined invalidation levels. The highest-probability outcome in a momentum regime is continuation, yet the holiday calendar increases the odds of abrupt spikes and stop-runs, so execution and sizing matter as much as direction. If gold holds above support and re-accelerates, the setup offers a clean path toward our upside target ladder. If the market fails back below the breakout shelf, we step aside, no debate, no averaging, because that would be a clear signal that momentum has cooled and conditions are no longer A+. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; manage exposure accordingly. For similar Gold Trade Setups please visit our Commodities Trade Ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. TerraBullMarkets...
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