USDCHF Trade Idea – 9/9/2025 We’re approaching USD/CHF with a sell-the-rally framework into 0.7960–0.8000, with a tactical add on any failed break of 0.8035–0.8060. The macro skew is USD-negative into this week’s inflation prints, while the franc retains a defensive bid ahead of the late-September SNB meeting. Technically, the pair has accepted below 0.80 with repeated rejections in 0.80–0.81, keeping risk/reward attractive with a tight invalidation at 0.8065 (or daily close >0.8050). Positioning adds edge: CHF specs remain net-short, leaving room for short-covering if USD softens on data. Key timing cues are US PPI (Wed 13:30 UK) and US CPI (Thu 13:30 UK); the SNB (Thu 25 Sep, 08:30 UK) sits beyond this week but supports the franc’s haven premium near-term. USDCHF Trade Idea Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ Near-term catalysts (UK time) USD/CHF 0.7916 Short on pops 0.7960–0.8000; add on failed break 0.8035–0.8060 0.8065 (daily close >0.8050) 0.7860 / 0.7800 Fundamentals: USD heavy into CPI; CHF still a haven with SNB later this month (no near-term easing risk). Technicals: Sub-0.80 acceptance, repeated rejections 0.80–0.81. Positioning: CHF specs net short ~−25.9k—room for CHF short-covering. (Bureau of Labor Statistics, SNB, Investing.com) Wed 10 Sep 13:30 US PPI Thu 11 Sep 13:30 CPI; (Heads-up) SNB Thu 25 Sep 08:30 UK. (Bureau of Labor Statistics, SNB) Conclusion — Execution & Risk Maintain a bearish USD/CHF bias into the data window: sell strength, define risk above 0.8050/65, and work 0.7860 then 0.7800 as measured targets. Take partials into 0.7860 and trail to breakeven; continue to trail above emerging lower highs if momentum extends. If CPI surprises hot or the market reprices the Fed hawkishly, respect a daily close >0.8050 and stand down—structure turns neutral/positive above that shelf. Outside of that scenario, the combination of macro skew, clean technical levels, and supportive positioning keeps this an A+ short-on-pops for the week. For similar Forex Trade Setups please visit our forex trade ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. USDCHF Trade Idea TerraBullMarkets...
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