USDJPY Trade Idea – 10/9/2025 We approach USD/JPY with a fade-rallies bias into 147.80–148.60 (contingency fade near 149.00 only on a clear intraday rejection). The macro skew remains USD-negative into this week’s U.S. inflation prints after softer labor data, while Japan’s political headlines and next week’s BoJ keep the yen’s haven bid in play. Technically, 148–149 is a well-defined supply ledge from prior failures—an attractive place to define risk. Positioning adds edge: speculative accounts remain biased long JPY, so dips tend to encounter demand. Our line in the sand is 149.40 (or a daily close above 149.20), which would indicate regime change rather than another fade. USDJPY Trade Idea: Pair / Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ Near-term catalysts (UK time) USD/JPY 147.3800 Short on rallies 147.80–148.60; contingency fade 149.00 only on rejection 149.40 (or daily close >149.20) 146.00 / 144.80 Fundamentals: US Jobs softness + Fed-cut odds keep USD heavy; Japan politics (PM Ishiba resignation) supports intermittent JPY haven bursts; BoJ next week keeps headline risk high. Technicals: 148–149 = well-defined supply/invalid. Sentiment / Positioning: JPY IMM net-long ~73k—dips bought. (Reuters, Bank of Japan, Investing.com) Today 13:30 US PPI; Thu 13:30 CPI; Next week 18–19 Sep BoJ. (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bank of Japan) Conclusion — Execution & Risk Treat bounces into the sell zone as opportunities: wait for a failed break or momentum roll before entry, then work 146.00 and 144.80 as primary targets, trailing stops above emerging lower highs. Take partials into 146s to de-risk and let the remainder run if yields continue to soften. If CPI prints hot and UST yields squeeze, respect a daily close >149.20/40 and stand down—structure turns neutral/positive above that shelf. Monitor headline risk (Japan politics/MoF rhetoric) around the data windows; otherwise, the combination of macro setup, clean technicals, and supportive positioning keeps this an A+ short-on-rallies for the week. Event times you’re trading around (UK/BST) US PPI (Aug): today Wed 10 Sep, 13:30. ECB (Thu 11 Sep): decision 13:15; press conference 13:45. US CPI (Aug): Thu 11 Sep, 13:30. UK GDP (July): Fri 12 Sep, 07:00. FOMC: Tue–Wed 16–17 Sep. BoJ: Thu–Fri 18–19 Sep. SNB: Thu 25 Sep (quarterly assessment). For similar Forex Trade Setups please visit our forex trade ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. The author and TerraBullMarkets.com are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice. USDJPY Trade Idea – 10.9.2025 TerraBullMarkets...
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