WTI has opened the European session on the front foot, but the broader tape still looks like a “sell-the-rally” market rather than a fresh uptrend. Price is attempting to stabilise above the $62 handle, yet recent structure continues to favour lower highs and range-to-downside follow-through when momentum fades. With macro catalysts building into the US session, and crude still highly sensitive to shifts in risk sentiment and geopolitics, today’s plan is to stay disciplined, let price come into supply, and only engage if the setup triggers cleanly. WTI Trade Setup: Asset Bias & Entries Stop / Invalidation Targets Why A+ (Fundamentals, Technicals, Sentiment) Price Action Driver Near-term catalysts (UK time) WTI SHORT – Sell rallies 62.85 – 63.25 (preferred) > 64.05 T1: 61.70 T2: 60.80 Fundamentals: Oil’s risk premium has been pressured by signs of progress in US-Iran nuclear talks, reducing “fear bid.” Technicals: Post-drop structure favors lower-high selling; defined stop above $64 keeps RR clean. Sentiment: Risk tone is only mildly positive and still cautious, rallies get sold in this regime. Geopolitics & risk sentiment Wed 18th Feb: 13:30/14:15: US data (growth impulse) & 19:00: FOMC minutes (risk repricing) Chart by TradingView – WTI Trade Setup – 18th Feb Conclusion Into the NY open, the focus is on whether WTI can sustain acceptance above the upper end of the near-term rebound range or whether the rally simply reloads sellers at better levels. If the market rejects the identified sell zone and returns back through support, it keeps the downside path open toward the next liquidity pockets. As always, execution matters: respect the invalidation level, take profit methodically into targets, and be prepared to stand aside if price action turns choppy ahead of key US catalysts. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; manage exposure accordingly. For similar Gold Trade Setups please visit our Commodities Trade Ideas page. Please visit our Disclaimer page. Disclaimer Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. TerraBullMarkets.com does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets or any financial instrument involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of TerraBullMarkets.com nor any of its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. TerraBullMarkets.com and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted. TerraBullMarkets...
