Author: TerraBullMarkets

EUR/USD Rebounds as US Dollar Weakens Ahead of US-China Trade Talks and CPI Data EUR/USD Rises as Focus Shifts from US Jobs Data to US-China Trade Talks and Inflation Outlook The euro is starting the week with a modest recovery against the US dollar, regaining some ground after Friday’s sharp drop triggered by a surprisingly strong US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. EUR/USD has ticked up to around 1.1415 in Monday’s early European session, following Friday’s low of 1.1370. The upbeat US employment report initially boosted the dollar, as markets reacted to the better-than-expected job creation in May. However, the greenback’s…

FX Analysis 6th June Markets head into the June 2025 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release on edge, with the U.S. Dollar recovering from six-week lows amid a mix of dovish Fed expectations, soft labor data, and resurgent global risk sentiment. Despite a pre-NFP short squeeze lifting DXY back toward 99.00, conviction remains skewed toward USD softness if job creation undershoots already lowered expectations. Meanwhile, major FX pairs are being shaped by divergent central bank paths (ECB, BoJ, BoC), shifting trade war headlines, and tactical technical levels. With risk appetite supported by improved U.S.-China dialogue and commodity-linked currencies holding firm, today’s…...

Forex Analysis 4th June – EURUSD USDCHF USDCAD The FX landscape is being shaped by a fresh round of U-S tariffs that doubled duties on steel and aluminium to 50 %, uncertainty ahead of a possible Trump–Xi call and a dense run of top-tier data (US ADP, ISM-Services and Friday’s NFP). At the same time: Europe – Softer euro-area CPI and tomorrow’s ECB meeting keep rate-cut expectations alive, capping EUR/USD rallies. Switzerland – May’s move back into deflation has lifted the probability of an SNB cut to—or even through—zero next month. Australia – Q1 GDP and the RBA minutes were…...

Forex Trade Ideas – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHFMarket backdrop (why conviction is high)Fresh tariff threats, another downgrade-watch on the U.S. fiscal outlook and a third consecutive contraction in ISM-Manufacturing have kept the dollar pinned near six-week lows. At the same time, the week is front-loaded with event-risk that should crystallise policy divergences:Euro-zone CPI (Tue) → ECB cut on Thu – disinflation gives Frankfurt cover to ease again and signal a pause.BoE speakers & U.K. data – point to a “hold” in June, reinforcing sterling’s relative-hawkish appeal.JOLTS → NFP – U.S. labour data could harden the market’s two-cut profile and cap any…...

Track all markets on TradingView Forex Daily Analysis – USD/CHF, EUR/USD, GBP/USD & USD/CADAs June trading begins, currency markets are dominated by renewed volatility driven by escalating US trade tensions, fresh tariff threats, and growing fiscal concerns. President Trump’s decision to increase steel and aluminum tariffs, coupled with deepening trade disputes with China, have significantly weakened the US Dollar. Meanwhile, central bank expectations have diverged notably, with investors reassessing their outlook for the ECB, BoE, BoC, and SNB in light of shifting economic indicators and policy signals. These dynamics create high-conviction trade opportunities in the currency markets, particularly favoring short…...

USDCHF Analysis – 30th May The dollar-franc bounce that followed Wednesday’s tariff headlines has already run out of steam. Thursday’s relief bid lifted USD/CHF to 0.8348, but the move stalled exactly at the 20-day exponential average and just below the 50-day line—levels that capped every recovery wave since late April. A swift retreat back through 0.8300 leaves the broader down-trend intact. USDCHF Fundamentals tilt south Tariff uncertainty resurfaces: a federal appeals court has only paused the lower court’s injunction; the White House vows to re-impose duties “another way.” The lack of clarity keeps risk demand fragile and underpins safe-haven CHF…...

GBPUSD Trade Idea – 29th MayThe shock US-court ruling that President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs overstepped constitutional limits has knocked a key prop from beneath the US Dollar just as the British macro picture begins to brighten.  UK growth is being revised higher (IMF now at 1.2 % for 2025), retail sales and service-CPI are re-accelerating and BoE officials show little appetite for another cut in June.By contrast, the Fed remains in “wait-and-see” mode and tariff uncertainty clouds the US outlook.  Technically, GBP/USD has merely pulled back to the 1.3430–1.3450 breakout shelf while its January up-channel and rising 20-day EMA stay intact. That combination…...

Track all markets on TradingView USDJPY Analysis – 28th May A two-day rebound in USD/JPY—initiated by Japan’s plan to tame super-long JGB yields and a brief risk-on lift from Trump’s tariff 50% delay on the EU—has pushed the pair back into a well-defined supply zone but has not altered the broader bearish constellation: Macro divergence: the Bank of Japan (BoJ) still hints at additional rate hikes, while the Fed’s baseline remains two cuts in 2025; U.S. fiscal concerns add a structural head-wind to the dollar. Yield mechanics: trimming super-long JGB issuance paused the yield surge, yet official comments suggest the…...

27th May Forex Trade Ideas – USDCHF Analysis With the U.S. dollar still laboring under fiscal-deficit worries and trade-policy whiplash, while safe-haven demand oscillates around shifting tariff deadlines, we have narrowed the focus to three trade ideas offering good reward-to-risk. Every set-up is backed by a clear macro narrative—ranging from haven inflows into the Swiss franc and yen to the tariff-delay lift for the euro and sterling—and, crucially, by clean technical structures that let stops sit close to logical invalidation points. Live prices (11-15 BST) have dropped three of the trades directly into their preferred entry zones and left two…...

Track all markets on TradingView 26th May Trade Ideas – USDCHF Analysis Global FX flows have snapped back into “Sell-America, Buy Havens & Europe” mode after President Trump postponed the 50 % EU-tariff threat to 9 July and markets re-priced the U.S. fiscal outlook sharply lower. The result has been a broad USD slide to one-month lows, firmer safe-haven demand for the Swiss franc and yen, and a fresh breakout in the euro. With these macro tail-winds now aligned with clean technical structures, four trade ideas stand out for their high probability: Rank Pair / Direction Entry LevelStop Loss Targets Detailed…...