Author: TerraBullMarkets

Next Week in Equities: Earnings and Trump’s Trade Tariffs After a volatile month, next week could be decisive for U.S. stock markets as a tidal wave of earnings and key macroeconomic releases collide. Trump’s Tariffs Begin to Bite The “Liberation Day” tariffs signed by President Trump start to take real economic effect now. Investors will get the first jobs report (NFP) covering the post-tariff period, alongside a flash read of Q1 U.S. GDP growth—where expectations are unusually wide, ranging from a minor expansion to contraction. Any sign of major economic weakening could rattle the major indices, especially cyclicals and small…

Next Week in Forex: Risks and Macro Themes to Watch As April winds down, the foreign exchange markets are bracing for a barrage of critical macro events that could shake up global risk sentiment and currency trends. Canadian Elections: Volatility Without Direction Canada’s national election kicks off the week, but FX traders should tread carefully. While volatility around CAD crosses is likely to spike, sustained directional moves may be elusive. A minority government outcome looks increasingly likely, which would leave fiscal and trade policy highly uncertain. Traders should be ready for whipsaw price action in USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, and EUR/CAD, rather…

Top 4 High-Conviction FX Trades to Watch As macro headwinds evolve and geopolitical tensions ebb and flow, FX markets continue to offer tactical opportunities driven by central bank divergence, technical levels, and cross-asset sentiment. Friday’s session saw a pickup in USD strength as durable goods orders beat expectations, reinforcing the idea that the Fed may delay rate cuts further—even amid tariff-induced inflation concerns. Meanwhile, Tokyo CPI surprised to the upside, nudging the BoJ closer to a rate hike, but markets are unconvinced. The yen continued its slide as risk sentiment remained firm and U.S. yields ticked up. Below, we break…...

Euro Rebounds Sharply as Dollar Wobbles on Tariff Turmoil The euro is regaining ground this week, with EUR/USD finding solid support near 1.1300 during Thursday’s European session. This comes as the US Dollar stalls in its recovery efforts amid fresh uncertainty over the direction of US-China trade negotiations, conflicting macro signals, and lingering concerns around the health of both the US and German economies. Meanwhile, risk sentiment across global markets is cautiously buoyant as major economies juggle geopolitical tensions and recessionary pressures. EUR/USD Holds 1.1300 as Dollar Bulls Lose Steam After a two-day corrective move, EUR/USD has stabilized around the…

High-Conviction FX Trade Setups — April 24 As April draws to a close, FX markets remain in a state of elevated crosswinds, shaped by diverging central bank policies, softening global growth data, and residual risk appetite driven by easing geopolitical tensions. This week’s FX positioning reflects a decisive shift back toward monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve’s credibility under renewed scrutiny, while the Bank of Japan inches closer to signaling potential tightening. Meanwhile, the Eurozone’s economic fragility is re-emerging, the UK is buoyed by trade optimism, and the commodity bloc—particularly NZD—is benefiting from a stabilizing risk environment. The dominant…...

Wall Street Rebounds After Selloff as Focus Shifts to Earnings Wall Street looked set to bounce back on Tuesday following a steep selloff, with investor sentiment buoyed by corporate earnings and a momentary reprieve from political headwinds. Futures pointed higher across the board, as market participants weighed the implications of the previous session’s slide—triggered by renewed criticism of the Federal Reserve—and awaited crucial earnings reports from key players in the U.S. economy. Stocks Rebound After Monday’s Rout Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures were up 0.88%, 0.86%, and 0.93% respectively in early premarket trading. The bounce comes after a sharp…

FX Trade Setups April 22nd – Yen Strength & Safe-Haven Rotation The FX market landscape has shifted dramatically over the past 48 hours, with safe-haven flows and political risk taking center stage. Following incendiary remarks by former U.S. President Donald Trump targeting Federal Reserve independence, the U.S. dollar has come under intense pressure. This, combined with mounting geopolitical tension and a surge in risk aversion, is powering a strong bid for the Japanese yen and Swiss franc — while commodity-linked and GBP pairs show selective resilience. Central bank divergence remains a critical theme. The Fed’s credibility is increasingly questioned amid…...

OIL Bullish Breakout Potential 21st April Crude oil is back in the spotlight—this time driven by fresh geopolitical tensions and evolving supply dynamics. With U.S. sanctions tightening the noose on Iranian oil exports and mixed signals emerging from the latest Iran-U.S. nuclear talks, traders are navigating a volatile landscape marked by uncertainty and opportunity. Despite macro headwinds like global tariff escalations, WTI crude has shown impressive resilience, breaking above key Fibonacci levels in recent sessions. But will it sustain the bullish momentum—or stall at trend resistance? In today’s post, we break down a high-conviction technical trade setup for USOIL, leveraging…

Fed Independence Pressured Dollar Slides The U.S. dollar plummeted across the board on Monday, rattled by deepening concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence amid growing pressure from President Donald Trump to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In a thinly traded session due to Easter Monday holidays across Europe, the dollar’s losses were steep, as investors rushed into traditional safe havens and dumped greenback-denominated assets. At the heart of the dollar’s tumble is the intensifying political drama surrounding the Fed. On Friday, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett confirmed that the Trump administration is actively exploring legal avenues to oust Powell…

Top 5 High-Conviction FX Trade Setups In light of escalating US-China trade tensions, renewed political interference risks with the Fed, and a dovish ECB that failed to dent euro strength, market sentiment has shifted firmly against the US dollar. The EUR/USD continues to climb as risk appetite rotates toward European currencies, while safe-haven demand supports the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar weakens on softer labor data and increasing rate cut expectations. Global FX markets are on edge as trade war tensions flare, central banks diverge, and political risk surges on both sides of the Atlantic. From…...